docs(evals): record refreshed merged-baseline chat pilot

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Date: 2026-10-26
## Refreshed user steering — 2026-10-28 UTC
The user merged credential-custody PR #17949 and asked to resume meaningful human chat feature journeys on the freshly verified merged production baseline. Prioritize sensible evals and a small passing pilot before wider runs, then continue toward broad passing coverage. Exercise real human commands, actual agent execution and independently verified product outcomes; fixture setup must not perform the tested action. No new numerical success threshold or blanket retry budget is introduced by this update.
The proposed pilot uses two previous genuine passes as explicitly requested new-baseline controls, plus three unused useful project/task journeys. Preserve all earlier attempts and correction limits. The prior production50b measurements are historical evidence for this refreshed baseline, not new proof: no old pass silently carries into the new rate. Record the exact new production/eval-source/model identity and actual results before crediting anything. Unmerged core dependencies remain blocked; the summarizer predicate correction remains unaccepted.
GitHub Actions on the existing AWS fleet and the requested OpenCode/OpenRouter model remain the execution lane. Use the existing Evals history and renderer. The original goal and earlier steering below remain preserved where not superseded.
## Authoritative user steering — 2026-10-27
The existing Evals website and family renderer/history are the primary delivery surface: [Evals hub](https://pages.paperclip.ing/evals/) and [Product E2E history](https://d1p6rlowie26tp.cloudfront.net/runner-e2e/). Retire the separate custom local HTML as the delivery approach; retain it only as historical evidence. The [published historical partial Codex campaign](https://d1p6rlowie26tp.cloudfront.net/runner-e2e/campaigns/historical-local-codex-chat-catalog-20261027-158measured-86unrun/) contains158 actually measured IDs,17 original initial passes,141 first-attempt failures and159 retained measurements;86 IDs remain unrun in that historical lane. These are original one-time local outcomes, not current-source/OpenCode qualification. There are238 callback implementations without declared gaps and six incomplete or blocked journeys. All244 are registered, but registration and prerequisite probes do not establish complete intended E2E coverage or verified behavior.
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Updated: 2026-10-27. This is the single progress record for [the saved goal](2026-10-26-chat-catalog-eval-goal.md). Exact frozen requests, ownership, readiness, attempt histories and provenance live in [the campaign manifest](../../tests/runner-e2e/chat-campaign-manifest.json). This record distinguishes authored code from live acceptance.
## Current state
## Refreshed execution checkpoint — 2026-10-28 UTC
- **User steering:** PR #17949 is merged. Resume real human chat feature commands on a freshly verified merged baseline; prioritize a small sensible pilot before wider runs, then continue toward broad passing coverage. No new numerical threshold or reset of failed-attempt budgets is implied.
- **Fresh source preparation:** the composed candidate is based on verified production `39e811c9c5226979fce42e052a27cfb28301018a`, including merged custody commit `38d08847`. Final eval source is still being composed and reviewed; no new-baseline pilot result is credited yet. Proposed controls are `cli-operations.create-from-cli` and `agents.change-manager`; unused initials are `projects.create-project`, `projects.project-work`, and `projects.archive-project`. Exact intents and actual admission remain separate from this proposal.
- **Preserved historical remote results:** [the official final34 report](https://d1p6rlowie26tp.cloudfront.net/runner-e2e/campaigns/gha-40584967834-1-final34-report/) records the previous lane: 57 distinct measured scenarios, 6 passed, 51 failed, 187 unrun; 62 attempts (6 passed, 56 failed). That run intentionally stopped for the shared key-custody finding after 34 admitted results. Its 120 unadmitted selections consumed no ordinal. Prior production50b and earlier mixed-baseline results are historical for this refreshed baseline; their passes do not become new-baseline evidence.
- **Evidence custody:** the former ignored private ledger directory is currently unavailable. Selected pilot history is being recovered from the published immutable 244-ID coverage and actual retained result bytes; unavailable private provenance is explicitly unknown. Do not reconstruct attempts from conversation memory. Accepted boundary/overview/preview candidates remain preserved by named Git refs; the comment fix already exists in the prior eval source. Do not integrate the whole semantic branch: the summarizer predicate remains unresolved and unaccepted.
## Earlier status checkpoints (historical)
- **First remote feedback-loop timing:**run40530790741 spanned15:25:15–16:18:09UTC (52m54s). Retained workflow facts: authorization queue≈8m03s, lockfile queue6m12s, catalog queue3m44s, AWS build queue16m40s plus build3m38s, paid case queue10m19s plus worker2m34s. These stage durations are not additive causal attribution or model runtime. Actual host/Docker qualified; the first framework attempt then failed agent-readiness setup before the canonical query.