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## Thinking Path
> - Paperclip is the open source app people use to manage AI agents for
work
> - The release workflow drafts the upcoming stable's notes skeleton at
beta publish, ranging from the last stable to the beta's source commit
> - Stables cut from candidate branches leave their tag off master's
lineage, so the ancestor-only baseline rule skips them and falls back a
whole release too far
> - The first live draft did exactly that: it ranged from v2026.722.0
instead of the just-shipped v2026.817.0 and re-included everything
already released
> - This pull request replaces the baseline rule with a merge-base walk
over stable tags and adds a candidate-branch regression fixture
> - The benefit is a correct draft range for every stable lineage:
master-cut, candidate-cut, and promoted-older-source
## Linked Issues or Issue Description
**What happened?**
The first `draft_stable_notes` run (for beta `2026.818.0-beta.1`)
generated `releases/beta/v2026.818.0-beta.1.md` with the range
`v2026.722.0..664052f8e` — 311-commits-worth of already-shipped
v2026.817.0 content re-included.
**Expected behavior**
The draft ranges from the point the shipped stable's content diverges
from the beta source. For v2026.817.0 (cut from
`candidate/release-2026.817.0`) that is the promoted source commit
`8f7b8b3fd`, giving the 172 commits of genuinely-new work.
**Steps to reproduce**
Ship a stable from a candidate branch (tag lands off master's lineage),
then publish a beta from master and read the generated skeleton's range
line.
**Paperclip version or commit**
master at `664052f8e`.
Related (not duplicates): #11567 introduced the generator; its
ancestor-only rule was itself a review fix for the newest-by-version
rule, and this PR is the second iteration with the lineage case the
first fix missed.
## What Changed
- `scripts/draft-stable-notes.sh`: the range start comes from walking
stable tags newest-first and taking the first whose merge-base with the
beta source is a proper ancestor of the source. Candidate-cut stables
resolve to the promoted commit, master-lineage stables to the tag
itself, and tags containing the source are skipped (an older-source
promotion cannot produce an empty range). The skeleton header prints a
runnable short-sha range with the stable tag as a labeled baseline.
- `scripts/draft-stable-notes.test.mjs`: new regression fixture with the
stable tag on an unmerged candidate branch; the existing older-source
and fallback fixtures still pass unchanged.
## Verification
- `node --test scripts/draft-stable-notes.test.mjs` — 8 pass, including
the new fixture.
- Regenerated the live `2026.818.0-beta.1` draft against the real
repository: range start resolves to `v2026.817.0 (merge-base
8f7b8b3fd)`, 172 commits, shipped-in-stable subjects absent, post-beta
subjects present.
- `bash -n` on the script.
## Risks
- Low risk: the script only produces a draft file; publishes are
untouched. The live skeleton branch for `2026.818.0-beta.1` is
regenerated with the corrected output (machine-owned branch, force-push
by design).
## Model Used
Claude Fable 5 (Claude Code)
## Pre-submission checklist
- [x] I have included a thinking path that traces from project context
to this change
- [x] I have specified the model used (with version and capability
details)
- [x] I have checked ROADMAP.md and confirmed this PR does not duplicate
planned core work
- [x] I have searched GitHub for duplicate or related PRs and linked
them above
- [x] I have either (a) linked existing issues with `Fixes: #` / `Closes
#` / `Refs #` OR (b) described the issue in-PR following the relevant
issue template